Wildcat Creek comes in for Hutcheson Stakes

Horseracing Betting Lines

02/08/2012 - Hallandale Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A field of six three-year-olds have been entered for Saturday's $150,000 Hutcheson Stakes at Gulfstream Park. The seven-furlong contest is an early prep for next month's $1 million Florida Derby.

Coming back to the Miami area is Wildcat Creek after a pair of stakes at Tampa Bay Downs. Trained by Edward Plesa Jr., the colt will start from post two with Angel Serpa riding.

Wildcat Creek, owned by BNB Racing and Rick Shanely, was second in both the Inaugural and Pasco Stakes at Tampa. In six career starts he has one win and two second-place finishes for $60,814.

Il Villano also ships in for the Hutcheson. The gray colt will be ridden by Elvis Trujillo from post five.

Trained by Susan Crowell, Il Villano began the year with a third behind Alpha in the Count Fleet Stakes at Aqueduct last month. As a two-year-old he won the Lord Henribee Stakes at Aqueduct in November and the following month captured the Southampton Stakes at Parx Racing. He has earned $140,300 for owner Chuck Russo in five lifetime starts.

Hall of Fame trainer Jonathan Sheppard has entered Ever So Lucky with Julien Leparoux set to ride from the outside post. Owned by Augustin Stable, the colt will be making his 2012 debut.

"Julien has experience with this colt and will know where to place him, depending on the way the race comes up," Sheppard said. "He's already had a race at a mile-and-a-sixteenth so we know he handles the distance. We thought coming off the layoff the seven-eighths race would be the right distance. He's adaptable to be placed wherever hes comfortable."

After breaking his maiden at first asking Ever So Lucky was second as the 8-5 favorite last November in the Kentucky Jockey Club. In his two starts the colt has earned $61,102.

Here is the full field from the rail out for the Hutcheson: Tarpy's Goal, Javier Castellano; Wildcat Creek, Angel Serpa; Thunder Moccasin, John Velazquez; Quick Wit, Ramon Dominguez; Il Villano, Elvis Trujillo and Ever So Lucky, Julien Leparoux.

The Hutcheson has a post-time Saturday of 3:50 p.m. (et).

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Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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